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A Game-Theoretic Approach to Detecting Romance Scams

Ebelechukwu Nwafor (2023) — New Perspectives in Behavioral Cybersecurity

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Synopsis

This conceptual chapter explains how game theory could model strategic interaction between romance scammers, targets, and detection systems. It argues that an automated detector informed by game-theoretic incentives and likely responses could help identify deception, reduce financial and personal-information theft, and improve trust in online dating services. The accessible abstract presents a modeling approach and anticipated benefits, not a completed deployment. It does not describe a dataset, implementation, comparison baseline, or measured detection performance. The chapter should therefore be treated as a proposed analytical direction for romance-scam detection rather than evidence that a particular automated system is effective.

Identified Gaps

The paper identifies the difficulty of scaling human moderation as online dating interactions increase and notes inconsistent moderation policies across geographical regions. It proposes automation supported by human review, but does not provide evidence on how the model performs in operational settings.

Methods

The paper presents a conceptual game-theoretic model of a romance scam using the minimax-regret criterion. It defines victim and scammer actions in a simplified $100 payment-request scenario, constructs a normal-form payoff matrix, converts entries into regret values, and identifies a minimax-regret value associated with selected actions.

Limitations

The work is an illustrative mathematical overview based on a single simplified scenario. It reports no empirical dataset, implementation, validation experiment, comparison with alternative detectors, or measured detection accuracy. Its payoff values and assumptions about victim and scammer behavior are presented without supporting empirical justification.

Future Work

Future research should empirically test the proposed minimax-regret model on real dating-platform interactions, assess false-positive and false-negative outcomes under human review, and compare it with existing moderation approaches.

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