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自我服务偏差与信念固着对"杀猪盘"诈骗的启示

Jin Jiayu (金嘉雨) (2025) — 社会科学与教育

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Synopsis

This publication examines how self-serving bias and belief perseverance illuminate victims’ experiences in “pig-butchering” telephone and online dating scams, arguing that psychological perception processes help explain why people fall for and persist in these schemes. The author links core social-psychological concepts to the crime type, noting that victims’ judgments are shaped by subjective factors such as illusory universality and uniqueness, optimistic biases, and altered interpretations of risk, which can hinder accurate assessments of a scammer’s identity and intentions. Drawing on literature and domestic data, the study identifies four scam types commonly observed in pig-butchering cases: direct financial extraction, inducement through discounts or vouchers, investment-type fraud promising stocks or digital assets, and business-advantage schemes masquerading as investment solicitations. It argues that victims’ self-serving attributions, excessive optimism, and illusory control contribute to continued engagement, even after authorities or relatives intervene. The narrative emphasizes that belief perseverance makes victims slow to acknowledge deception and resistant to corrective information, potentially leading to repeated losses or trauma, including PTSD-like symptoms. In terms of prevention and intervention, the author proposes a blend of technology-assisted and human-centered strategies. Suggestions include using AI-enabled public messaging to induce cognitive shifts, training anti-fraud personnel in psychology-informed communication, and fostering cross-sector collaboration to monitor risk signals and deliver targeted warning messages. The discussion frames these measures as ways to disrupt victims’ perceptual biases and strengthen deterrence, while acknowledging that current research on victims’ perceptual processes remains limited. The article closes by situating these insights within ongoing efforts to modernize anti-fraud initiatives alongside rapid technological change.

Identified Gaps

The paper identifies an imbalance in existing research: studies largely analyze offender processes and tactics, while victim psychology receives insufficient attention. It also states that single-type studies are common and whole-case analyses are comparatively scarce. The article positions victim perception, especially self-serving bias and belief perseverance, as an underused perspective.

Methods

This is a literature-based conceptual analysis. The author collected, read, and analyzed Chinese and international literature on pig-butchering fraud and social psychology, then applied the concepts of self-serving bias and belief perseverance to four stated fraud types. The paper develops prevention and intervention recommendations from this theoretical synthesis.

Limitations

The author acknowledges that only a limited number of psychological concepts are discussed, so the analysis cannot accurately reconstruct victims’ entire perceptual process in these cases. The study is literature-based and does not report original victim, offender, platform, or intervention data; consequently, its proposed psychological mechanisms and prevention measures are not empirically tested in the supplied text.

Future Work

Future research should examine a broader set of psychological constructs to reconstruct victims’ perceptions across the full fraud trajectory. Empirical testing is needed to assess whether self-serving bias and belief perseverance predict susceptibility, resistance to intervention, repeat transfers, and post-fraud outcomes.

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